The Long and Short of It: Statistical Arguments

Sunday, February 1st, 2009

So there’s an inflammatory post on the physics preprint server blog with the headline Massive Miscalculation Makes LHC Safety Assurances Invalid.   It’s based on a paper by Toby Ord and others titled “Probing the Improbable: Methodological Challenges for Risks with Low Probabilities and High Stakes.”   Here is the abstract: Some risks have extremely high stakes. […]

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